Dit is m'n analyse die ik ook op US fora geplaatst heb.
I rewatched all episodes to get a closer look on the last four players.
Check out this overview of all missions. I've added the amount off money I feel the player contributed too, or kept from, the pot.
Offcourse this is highly debatable. Still it should give some insight which player is the most likely mole.
Apart from the money, you'll find short statements in this overview on the behaviour of the player.
Nicole
1. Over the falls: Nicole gets the bag, but it's worthless (0)
1. Crusoe: Nicole is side-tracked and has no real influence on the outcome. Although she chooses the teams. (+15.000)
2. Soccer: Bad goalkeeping. Uphill: Not shown att all!
2. Pigs: Her group finds a lot of pigs (24, thx to Spanish speaking Alex). Helps with catapult.
3. Fruit: Got 1 out of 7 with Alex (+2.000), but it seems Alex fault (double green apple).
3. Find clothes: Finds clothes first, team succeeds (+5.000)
4. Midas Rush: Takes only 4 bricks. Team has quick start, but Nicolle is very slow. Doesn't influence the heavy/light scale choice, a mole could leave the heavy one to the allready slow team. They make it (+1.000)
4. Who said it?: Got it wrong (-2.000), and sabotaged Kristens question (-2.000)
5. All for one: Nicole leaves fifth.
5. Travellers: She refuses the challenge, when other do too. (-10.000)
6. Grapes of cash: Is a thinker with Craig. Q1: Got it wrong. It's Mark that solves it (correct). Q2: No input. Q3: Only thinks, Marks solves it. Q4: Quesses the answer (correct). (+10.000) Q5: No input, Mark solves it (correct). Q6: Wants wrong answer, but Mark solves it. (correct) Q7: Thinks out loud, and gives wrong answer. Finally Mark solves it.
6. Swing out: Jumps last. Misses the target (0)
7. Go figure: She corrects Craigs faults. They got the fifth number wrong. She miscounts several times? She goes back, and returns with another wrong number!
7. Ticket to ride: Nicolle memorises Clays question flawlessly (+10.000). She also sees her mother (+10.000).
Grand total: + 39.000
Paul
1. Over the falls: Paul misses the bag (-10.000)
1. Crusoe: As timekeeper he is complaining. Still he gives appraisers enough time to get 3 out of 3 items correct (since the other 2 were not scavenged). (+15.000)
2. Soccer: Lies down on grass, coughing. Uphill: Stays with overheating Liz.
2. Pigs: Breaks the pig (excemption) (-1.000). Catches several pigs.
3. Fruit: got 5 out of 7 with Ali (+10.000)
3. Find clothes: Succeeds with Bobby (+5.000)
4. Midas Rush: Takes 12? bricks. Walks with Craig. Has bricks in hand & backpack. They make it just in time (+3.000)
4. Who said it?: Got it wrong (-2.000)
5. All for one: Paul leaves third.
5. Travellers: He doesn't want to be an ass in an ass, and opts out. (-10.000)
6. Grapes of cash: Is the communicator. Skips several answers and let the runners run to bottle #7. They complain they have to run back and forth through the vineyard. He irritates Nicolle at the whiteboard. Screwed up a "1" and a "0". (+ 35.000, because both 0 and 70.000 wouldn't be fair)
6. Swing out: Jumps second and misses the target (0)
7. Go figure: Doesn't take sides in discussion on answer 1! Paul has the map, and they get lost on location #3. Still they make it on time, and with 3 correct numbers.
7. Ticket to ride: Paul sees his wife and daughter (+10.000), eventhough he skips the first 3 answers.
Grand total: + 56.000 (Note: The Grapes of Cash weighs heavily on this!)